The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) has issued a fresh forecast for July, and it paints a mixed picture for millions of Kenyans planning their month ahead.

🇰🇪 Breaking It Down

From the weather forecast seen by Kenyans.co.ke on July 1, KMSA predicts that most parts of the country should brace for dry, sunny days. "The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) indicates that in July 2026, several parts of the country will be generally dry and sunny,” stated Kenya Met.

Residents of Nairobi and the Central highlands are in for a different kind of month, one defined by cold mornings, cloudy skies, and the occasional light shower.

The same pattern is expected to play out in parts of the Southeastern lowlands, western Kenya, and the central Rift Valley, where intermittent drizzles will interrupt otherwise dry spells.  This encompasses counties like Machakos, Kitui, Makueni, Kajiado, and Taita-Taveta in the southeast; Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, and Nyamira in the west; and Nakuru, Narok, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, and Nandi counties in the central Rift Valley.

📌 What You Need to Know

“However, intermittent cool and cloudy conditions accompanied by light rains are expected to prevail in counties in the Central highlands and Nairobi area and some counties in the Southeastern lowlands, western Kenya and the central Rift Valley during the month,” stated Kenya Met.

For farmers and residents in the Highlands west of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, and Central and Southern Rift Valley, the news is less encouraging, as these regions brace for below-average rainfall likely to affect planting schedules and water availability.

“Counties in the Highlands west of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, and Central and Southern Rift Valley are likely to receive below-average rainfall,” stated Kenya Met. These regions cover Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, and Busia in the Lake Victoria Basin and Highlands West, plus Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, West Pokot, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, and Bomet in the Central and Southern Rift Valley.

On the northern frontier, things aren't much better, as the northwestern region, encompassing counties like Turkana, West Pokot, and Samburu counties, is expected to stay largely dry throughout July.

On the flipside, the Coastal counties such as Lamu, Mombasa, Kilifi, Malindi, and Taita Taveta are likely to enjoy near to above average rainfall this month with warmer temperatures.

A few counties near the Uganda border, like Busia County and South Sudan borders like Turkana County, may also catch some rain, but below the usual seasonal average, according to the weatherman.

📰 Source: Kenyans.co.ke