Nairobi, Coast, Nyanza among areas set for above-average rains

Jukwaa

📻 Breaking It Down

The outlook released on Wednesday indicates that most counties are likely to receive above-normal rainfall during the 2026 short-rains season, with some areas expected to experience prolonged wet spells and isolated storms.

The forecast comes as the El Niño event in the equatorial Pacific continues to strengthen, while the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is expected to move into its positive phase from September.

KMSA said the strengthening El Niño and a potentially positive IOD could enhance rainfall during the season, although the timing and strength of the IOD remain uncertain.

📌 What You Need to Know

Among the areas expected to receive above-average rainfall are Nairobi, Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Nakuru, Kericho, Bomet, Kisii, Nyamira, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Siaya, Busia, Bungoma, Kakamega, Vihiga, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia, Elgeyo Marakwet, Baringo and Narok.

The forecast also places much of the Coast, eastern and northeastern regions in the above-average rainfall category, including Mombasa, Kilifi, Kwale, Lamu, Tana River, Garissa, Wajir, Mandera, Isiolo, Meru, Embu, Tharaka-Nithi, Kitui, Makueni and Machakos.

Turkana and parts of West Pokot, Samburu and Marsabit are expected to record rainfall ranging from near average to above average.

KMSA said rainfall distribution is expected to be fairly to well spread across much of the country, although Turkana and Samburu could experience poorer distribution.

The season is also expected to be characterised by prolonged wet periods punctuated by isolated storms.

The timing of the rains will vary across the country.In western Kenya, including Nandi, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Siaya, Busia, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Kericho and Bomet, rainfall is expected to continue from September and extend into January.

📰 Source: Capital FM Kenya

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